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Last update
2006-11-15


Money demand and inflation in Belarus: Evidence from cointegrated VAR
Author/Editor: Igor Pelipas
Source: Research in International Business and Finance, Volume 20/2, Lucio Vinhas de Souza (ed.), Beyond the euro area: Monetary Policy in selected CIS countries, June 2006, pp. 200-214.
Year of issue: 2006
Abstract:

The paper analyses the demand for nominal and real money balances (M1) in Belarus on the basis of the quarterly data for 1992-2003. Using cointegration analysis and dynamic equilibrium correction models, well specified and stable long- and short-run money demand functions are derived. On the basis of long-run real money demand functions the gap between money demand and supply (monetary overhang) is determined. Within the framework of short-run dynamic models for real money balances, the equilibrium correction mechanism and speed of adjustment of the system toward steady-state trajectory are investigated. Using the model of inflation with the equilibrium corrections mechanism taken from real money demand functions, the determinants of inflation in Belarus are examined.

Keywords: Money demand; Inflation; Monetary disequilibrium; Cointegration; Equilibrium correction model

JEL classification codes: C32; E31; E41

Article is avaiable at http://www.sciencedirect.com/


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